CBS News Battleground Tracker poll finds Democrats maintain House advantage amid concern about prices

Our CBS News House model estimate shows the Democrats retain their edge for a narrow majority of seats and their lead in national vote preference. The advantage is driven by opposition to the Trump administration's policies and a Republican base that is less likely to turnout.

Yet, when Americans are asked what they use to gauge the economy, almost all say the same thing: Prices.

Democrats continue to draw the votes of people who say prices have been difficult or a hardship.

Republicans also give Trump much lower ratings on handling inflation than they do on things like immigration, or overall.

Call them the "Reluctant Republicans" sitting this election out (in some cases, switching), in part because of dissatisfaction about prices.

Republicans who say their GOP candidates are not talking about the cost of living much are also less likely to vote.

Overall, Republicans who think Donald Trump is doing a worse job overall in his second term compared to his first term are almost 20 points less likely to say they'll definitely vote.

By a wide margin today, voters see Trump administration policies — not former President Joe Biden's — as responsible for today's economy.

On balance, the percentage of Hispanic likely voters backing Republicans is lower than the percentage Mr. Trump got from Hispanic voters in the 2024 presidential election.

That could have an impact across a number of congressional districts, including (but not only) in many that were redistricted in the last year, since many of those districts aren't as easy for Republicans to carry without holding the gains made in 2024.

Relatedly, compared to voters overall, more Hispanic voters feel Trump is focused too much on deportation efforts.

Hispanic voters see unfairness in ICE's operations – they think Hispanic people are being subjected to more ICE deportation searches than people of other races and backgrounds.