How could US midterms reshape Pakistan’s relationship with Washington as political fortunes shift?
Pakistan’s role in regional diplomacy
Pakistan’s diplomatic profile rose after it brokered a ceasefire between the United States and Iran on April 8 and hosted the highest-level direct talks between the countries since 1979. The 60-day period for further talks ended in mid-August without an extension.
Midterms could shift Congress
Trump enters the midterms with a 30 percent approval rating in a Pew Research Center survey conducted from September 28 to October 4, down from 37 percent in January. Analysts are watching whether Democrats could gain control of the Senate and House of Representatives.
One analyst said a Democratic majority could make Congress lean more toward India than Pakistan. Grace Wermenbol, a former US national security official, also warned that the Iran conflict could remain a major concern in the Gulf, with possible renewed attacks after elections.
Pakistan looks beyond Trump
Cheema urged Pakistan not to base its approach on whether Trump’s influence rises or falls. He said the country’s strength lies in its relevance to the Middle East and its role in protecting US interests. Khan said Pakistan’s greater geopolitical profile and growing national security and defence relevance in West Asia would endure regardless of Trump’s political strength or continued presence in office.
Key points
- Pakistan’s ties with Trump have improved after years of strained relations.
- Islamabad brokered a US-Iran ceasefire and hosted high-level talks.
- A Democratic majority in Congress could tilt attention toward India, one analyst said.
- Some analysts say Pakistan’s regional importance may outlast Trump’s influence.