Duke shooting and every top-10 college basketball team’s biggest weakness at No. 10

Florida needs cleaner possessions
Florida is turning the ball over on 19.1 percent of its possessions, ranking 226th nationally. The Gators are averaging 2.6 more turnovers per game than their opponents, while forcing turnovers on 15.2 percent of defensive possessions.
Alex Condon averages 3.0 turnovers per game, and Boogie Fland averages 2.7. The team’s offensive rebounding makes getting a shot attempt particularly important, and both players have previously shown they can take care of the ball.
Duke searches for three-point rhythm
Duke is making 30.1 percent of its three-point attempts, good for 222nd nationally. Against Michigan State, the Blue Devils made 7 of 29 from beyond the arc. John Blackwell is shooting 33.3 percent from three this season, compared with a 37.2 percent career mark. Caleb Foster is at 35.7 percent, below his 38.2 percent career rate. Duke has made 9 of 34 contested catch-and-shoot threes, 2 of 14 pull-up threes and 11 of 25 open catch-and-shoot threes.
Illinois has free-throw trouble
Some of the early struggles come from players with stronger career or past results. Stefan Vaaks shot 84 percent last year but is at 33.3 percent so far, while Tomislav Ivisic is also at 33.3 percent despite a 75 percent career mark. Freshmen Quentin Coleman and Lincoln Williams are each shooting 50 percent.
UConn faces tougher tests
UConn has played only one opponent ranked in the KenPom top 300, beating Michigan by eight points. Its next seven games include Ohio State, Arizona, Duke, Illinois and Kansas, which should offer a clearer measure of the team.
For now, UConn’s notable statistical concern is shooting 27.8 percent on movement threes, according to Synergy. That matters for an offense built around off-ball movement, cutting and shooting, where jumpers after off-ball screens are part of the attack.
Key points
- Duke is shooting 30.1 percent from three, ranking 222nd nationally.
- Florida turns the ball over on 19.1 percent of possessions.
- Illinois is making 56.9 percent of its free throws through three games.
- UConn is shooting 27.8 percent on movement threes, according to Synergy.

