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Under 47.5 leads Buccaneers-Bears Sunday Night Football picks as defenses shine | Deadspin

Two defenses set the tone

Both teams’ strengths are on defense, where they have been effective at keeping opponents from holding the ball. The matchup’s defensive profile is central to the listed under bet.

Chicago gives up 20 points per game, the eighth-fewest in the NFL this season. Opponents average 50.9 offensive plays per game against the Bears, nearly seven fewer than against the next-best team.

Tampa Bay limits plays

The Buccaneers have had more overall defensive success than Chicago, while also restricting opponents’ offensive opportunities. Opponents average 58.1 offensive plays per game against Tampa Bay, the third-fewest in the league.

The figures suggest both defenses can limit the number of chances available to opposing offenses. The matchup is scheduled for Sunday night in Week 9.

Chicago’s home advantage

The listed wager is under 47.5 total points, priced at -115. Chicago’s home defensive numbers provide the main case for that pick.

Key points

  • The Bears host the Buccaneers in Week 9’s Sunday Night Football game.
  • Chicago allows 20 points per game, the eighth-fewest in the NFL this season.
  • Opponents average 58.1 offensive plays per game against Tampa Bay, the league’s third-fewest.
  • The listed pick is under 47.5 points at -115.
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