ESPN FPI Predicts Indiana's Chances Against Minnesota in Homecoming Clash
A strong statistical advantage
ESPN ranks Indiana sixth in its latest FPI ratings and Minnesota 65th. The model gives the Hoosiers a 96% chance of winning Saturday. ESPN’s SP+ model projects Indiana to win 34-11 and assigns the Hoosiers a 92% winning probability. Oddsmakers opened Indiana as an approximately 19.5-point favorite.
Recent results add context
Last week, FPI gave Indiana an 82.2% chance to beat Michigan in Ann Arbor. The Hoosiers won 13-6 in overtime, showing that a favorable projection does not ensure an easy game.
Minnesota brings defensive strength
Minnesota’s offense ranks 83rd in scoring, averaging 26.6 points per game, while its rushing attack ranks 132nd. Indiana’s defense has helped offset the Hoosiers’ recent offensive struggles.
A chance before the bye
Saturday gives Indiana an opportunity to improve to 8-1 and find a better offensive rhythm. The Hoosiers face Minnesota before a bye week.
Key points
- ESPN’s FPI gives Indiana a 96% chance to beat Minnesota.
- Indiana has scored 28 points across its last two games.
- Minnesota beat then-No. 15 Iowa 13-10 last weekend.
- A win would move Indiana to 8-1 before its bye week.